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Politics, Governance & Regional Affairs

Bobi Wine to Challenge Museveni in 2026 Poll

Bobi Wine, real name Robert Kyagulanyi, faces mounting threats ahead of Uganda’s 2026 election—including arrests, beatings, and open intimidation by Museveni’s son, Gen. Muhoozi. “It’s going to be terrible,” he warns, after an opposition MP died in custody and US observers were expelled during a violent by-election.

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Bobi Wine confirms 2026 presidential run against Museveni, defying threats and calling for global action amid Uganda’s deepening repression.
Defiant against adversity and fueled by the aspirations of Uganda's youth, Bobi Wine vows to challenge incumbent President Museveni in the upcoming elections, despite facing imprisonment, attacks, and threats on his life."

Bobi Wine confirms 2026 presidential run against Museveni, defying threats and calling for global action amid Uganda’s deepening repression.

Election

Bobi Wine, Uganda’s opposition leader, has announced he will challenge President Yoweri Museveni in the 2026 general elections, setting up another showdown against East Africa’s longest-serving head of state.

Speaking to The Guardian, Wine said the decision was not about personal ambition but a duty to Uganda’s youth, who make up over 80% of the population.

“We cannot just give the election to General Museveni. I think I stir a lot of hope because I don’t shut my big mouth—and that’s a big challenge to the regime.”


⚠️ Arrests, Torture, and Escalating Threats

Wine, whose real name is Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu, has faced repeated arrests and beatings. His chief adversary is Muhoozi Kainerugaba, Museveni’s son and current Chief of Defence Forces, who has threatened Wine publicly.

In March 2025, a National Unity Platform (NUP) MP died following alleged torture by security forces. Wine revealed journalists were also beaten and U.S. observers were expelled from the by-election scene.

“Thinking about how brutal it’s going to be… it’s terrifying,” he admitted.


👨🏿‍🎓 Uganda’s Youth and the Power of the Vote

Uganda’s youthful population is Wine’s biggest strength. He views the under-35 majority as a rising democratic force.

“Young people are hopeful because they see the possibility. If you’re not given freedom, you don’t have a life.”

His NUP party, launched in 2020, continues to draw large crowds and online traction, making it the strongest challenger to Museveni’s nearly 40-year rule.


🧭 Targeted Sanctions & A Call for Global Action

Wine criticized the international community’s silence, calling for targeted sanctions on regime officials and a rethink of military aid.

“The guns that kill our people are American. The soldiers torturing us are trained in America.”

He warned that business interests are being prioritized over human rights:

“We want the world to help us—not become partners in crime.”


💸 $2.5 Billion Lost Yearly to Corruption

According to Wine, Uganda loses UGX 10 trillion ($2.5 billion) every year to corruption, citing Inspector General of Government (IGG) reports.

“Our national debt will take 97 years to repay. Yet we’re rich in natural resources and youth. If corruption stops, we can thrive.”

📌 For more, read our Uganda corruption report or track national budget misuse cases.


👪 Family, Film & Defiant Resolve

Wine’s wife, Barbie Kyagulanyi, an author and women’s rights activist, continues to stand by his side. Their story features in the Oscar-nominated documentary Bobi Wine: The People’s President.

“Those who fight for freedom don’t choose it—it chooses them,” Wine said. “If I’m still alive and not in jail by the end of this year, I’ll run.”


🗳️ 2026: Museveni’s Seventh Term?

President Museveni, now in his 80s, has confirmed plans to seek a seventh term. The 2021 elections were criticized for:

  • Widespread violence and internet shutdowns
  • Crackdowns on opposition rallies
  • Accusations of fraud and rigging

The U.S. State Department called the 2021 election “fundamentally flawed”, while Africa Elections Watch documented serious irregularities.


🔥 What’s Next for Uganda?

With Museveni showing no intention to step down, and Muhoozi actively campaigning, the 2026 elections could be the most contentious in Uganda’s history.

📍 Explore our Uganda Elections 2026 Hub
📍 Track Bobi Wine’s political journey

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Politics, Governance & Regional Affairs

ICC Confirms Charges Against Joseph Kony

Joseph Kony remains at large, but the ICC’s ruling ensures he can face trial immediately upon arrest. Charges include murder, rape, sexual slavery, and forced recruitment of child soldiers. Survivors of the LRA conflict now see their suffering recognized on a global stage.

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The ICC has confirmed 39 war crimes and crimes against humanity charges against Joseph Kony. The ruling was made on 6 November 2025, decades after the LRA insurgency terrorized northern Uganda. This decision marks a major milestone in international justice and accountability.
The ICC’s confirmation highlights the principle of universal accountability for atrocity crimes. Uganda referred the case to the court in 2004, showing regional cooperation with international law. The ruling reinforces that justice delayed does not mean justice denied.

The ICC confirms 39 war‑crimes charges against Joseph Kony on 6 Nov 2025, a major step for global justice and accountability.

On 6 November 2025, the International Criminal Court (ICC) confirmed 39 charges of war crimes and crimes against humanity against fugitive Ugandan warlord Joseph Kony. This decision marks a significant milestone in the global fight against impunity. Kony has been the ICC’s longest-running fugitive since an arrest warrant was issued in 2005.

According to Reuters, the charges include murder, rape, sexual slavery, enslavement, forced recruitment of child soldiers, and forced pregnancy. The crimes were allegedly committed between 2002 and 2005 in northern Uganda during the insurgency led by the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA). The judges also held Kony responsible for 10 counts linked to two women he allegedly took as “wives.”

A Milestone for International Justice

This ruling is more than symbolic. By confirming charges in absentia, the ICC prepares to start trial proceedings immediately once Kony is captured. This approach addresses a long-standing challenge in international law: holding high profile fugitives accountable.. As the ICC Prosecutor’s Office stated, “[This] ensures that Joseph Kony—once arrested—can immediately face trial on these charges.”

Furthermore, the decision reinforces the principle of universal accountability. Even decades-old atrocities will not be ignored. The ICC judges concluded there are “substantial grounds to believe” Kony committed these crimes. (ICC Official Press Release)

The Human Toll of the LRA Conflict

The LRA began in the late 1980s and waged a campaign of terror across northern Uganda, South Sudan, the Central African Republic, and the Democratic Republic of Congo. According to United Nations estimates, the conflict killed over 100,000 people and displaced millions. Tens of thousands of children were abducted. Many became soldiers or were forced into sexual slavery.

For survivors, the ICC ruling represents recognition. Many lived for decades with trauma and loss. By confirming charges, the court acknowledges their suffering. This step strengthens faith that justice can reach even the most vulnerable victims.

Implications for Africa and the World

Kony’s case also affects Africa and the global justice system. The ICC has faced criticism for allegedly focusing too much on African countries. However, Uganda referred the case to the ICC in 2004. The court’s ruling shows collaboration between African states and international institutions.

Human rights lawyer Nicholas Opiyo stated: “This ruling rekindles faith that even the most elusive warlords cannot escape accountability forever.”

Globally, Kony’s case tests the ICC’s effectiveness. Despite international efforts—including a $5 million US bounty and regional military pursuits—Kony remains at large. This highlights enforcement limits and the court’s reliance on state cooperation. Yet, the legal confirmation keeps the case active and pressure on authorities high.

What to Watch Next

Observers should track several developments:

  • Will African Union forces intensify efforts to capture Kony?
  • How will victims respond? Will they demand reparations or transitional justice in Uganda?
  • Will the ICC use this precedent for other high-profile fugitives?

The ruling may also influence global norms. Countries facing internal conflicts can see that long-term accountability is possible. Even if enforcement is challenging, the legal acknowledgment of crimes sends a deterrent signal to potential perpetrators. (Al Jazeera)

Conclusion

The ICC’s confirmation of 39 charges against Joseph Kony on 6 November 2025 is a crucial step in international justice. While Kony remains un-captured, the court ensures that proceedings can begin immediately upon arrest.

For the global audience, this case demonstrates that international law can pursue perpetrators across borders. It reinforces victims’ rights and strengthens the rule of law. Importantly, it reminds the world that justice may be delayed but cannot be denied.

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Elections & Political Transitions

Tanzania Election: Crackdowns and Treason Charges

The Catholic Church condemned the killing of protesters following the disputed elections. Leaders emphasize that justice is essential for national peace and stability.

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President Samia Suluhu Hassan faces scrutiny after opposition arrests and alleged election-related violence. Experts say these actions threaten Tanzania’s global credibility.

Mass arrests, treason charges, and deadly crackdowns follow Tanzania’s disputed October 29 election, raising global concerns over democracy.

November 10, 2025-Tanzania is in the midst of a deepening political crisis following the October 29 general election. The vote has sparked mass arrests, treason charges, and deadly crackdowns on protesters. Analysts warn the unrest could destabilise the nation’s democratic institutions and affect regional economic stability.


Post-Election Violence and Casualties

Reports indicate that hundreds, possibly over a thousand, people have died in the days following the election. The opposition party Chadema claims the death toll exceeds 700. Human rights groups estimate that fatalities could reach 3,000. At a funeral in Dar es Salaam, Archbishop Jude Thaddaeus Ruwa’ichi declared, “The punishment for protests is not to shoot and kill,” highlighting growing outrage over the government’s response.

Families of victims say the military used live ammunition against demonstrators, and local hospitals report treating hundreds of injured civilians. The crackdown has left communities in fear, and social media accounts detail ongoing incidents of violence in major cities and rural areas alike.


Opposition Crackdown and Treason Charges

Security forces have arrested senior Chadema leader Amani Golugwa, along with several party officials. Warrants have been issued for dozens more involved in post-election demonstrations.

At least 145 individuals face treason charges, accused of plotting to obstruct the electoral process. Analysts say the government’s actions appear designed to paralyze the opposition and limit political competition. Opposition members claim the arrests violate constitutional rights, while civil society groups have condemned what they call “selective persecution.”


Disputed Victory and Authoritarian Concerns

President Samia Suluhu Hassan reportedly secured 97–98 percent of the vote. Observers have widely disputed the results, noting irregularities and restrictions on campaigning. Security forces deployed heavily to suppress dissent, while civil society activists faced intimidation and arrest.

Analysts suggest the election reflects a broader authoritarian shift. By restricting opposition activity and controlling public discourse, the government risks undermining trust in democratic institutions. The crackdown has drawn attention from regional bodies concerned with election fairness and transparency.


Global Attention and Economic Risks

The African Union and the United Nations have urged independent investigations into the killings. Analysts warn political instability could deter foreign investment, hinder development programs, and disrupt regional trade.

Economists emphasize that investor confidence depends on transparency and stability. With Tanzania facing scrutiny over human rights, donors may reconsider aid and multilateral programs, potentially affecting projects in infrastructure, health, and education.


Treason indictments have sparked criticism. Boniface Mwabukusi of the Tanganyika Law Society called the charges “a mockery of justice.” Opposition leaders assert the arrests aim to suppress dissent and restrict political competition.

Civil society groups continue documenting human rights violations. Security forces’ use of excessive force has drawn condemnation from church leaders and community organizations. Analysts say that such measures could deepen societal divisions and risk further escalation if unaddressed.


Regional Implications

Observers note that the crackdown carries broader consequences for East Africa. Neighboring countries are watching closely, as Tanzania’s approach may influence political norms in the region. Trade and cross-border investment could be affected if the crisis undermines confidence in governance and stability.

The government’s response also sends a signal to multinational investors monitoring the East African market. A perception of unpredictability and authoritarianism may deter foreign capital, affecting sectors such as energy, manufacturing, and tourism.


Calls for Dialogue and Accountability

Despite the crisis, some officials are advocating for dialogue and reconciliation. Archbishop Ruwa’ichi stressed, “There can be no peace without justice.” Analysts say transparency in reporting casualties, independent investigations, and meaningful engagement with opposition leaders are essential to prevent further unrest.

Political commentators argue that Tanzania has a narrow window to restore credibility. The coming weeks will determine whether reforms are implemented or repression becomes entrenched. International and domestic scrutiny will be key in shaping the country’s democratic trajectory.


Bottom Line

The post-election crackdown in Tanzania is more than a domestic issue; it is a global concern. How the government handles human rights allegations, manages dissent, and restores public trust will define its credibility. Investors, policymakers, and citizens alike are watching closely. The events following the October 29 election serve as a litmus test for governance, institutional integrity, and democratic resilience in Tanzania.

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Regional Security & Peacebuilding

DRC-Rwanda Economic Pact Signed

The agreement includes the Ruzizi III Hydropower Project and plans for cross-border transport corridors. Analysts say this pact could stabilize the region and unlock investment opportunities for global corporations.

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The Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda signed a U.S.-backed economic deal on Nov. 7, 2025. This historic framework focuses on trade, infrastructure, and mineral sector development across the Great Lakes region.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio (center) speaks alongside DRC Foreign Minister Therese Kayikwamba Wagner (left) and Rwandan Foreign Minister Olivier Nduhungirehe during the signing ceremony at the US State Department on April 25, 2025, in Washington, D.C.

DRC and Rwanda initial US-backed economic deal to boost trade, infrastructure, and mineral investment in the Great Lakes region

Washington D.C., 7 November 2025 – The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Rwanda have signed a U.S.-backed economic cooperation framework, aiming to boost trade, infrastructure, and mineral development in the Great Lakes region. The deal, reported by Bloomberg, marks a major step in implementing the 2025 peace agreement between the two countries.

The framework outlines cooperation in mining, transport, energy, trade, healthcare, and environmental conservation. It also sets rules for resource management, aiming to prevent disputes that have plagued the eastern DRC in the past.

“This is a critical step for regional stability and economic growth,” a senior U.S. official said, highlighting the international community’s support.


What the Deal Covers

The pact focuses on several areas:

  • Minerals: DRC’s rich reserves of cobalt, copper, lithium, and gold will be developed with transparency, opening opportunities for international investors.
  • Infrastructure: Projects include the Ruzizi III Hydropower Project and new cross-border transport corridors to improve trade links.
  • Trade and Business: The agreement aims to simplify customs and create economic zones along the border.
  • Environment and Health: Both countries plan joint initiatives in public health and conservation.

Why It Matters

The timing of the agreement is significant. Years of conflict in eastern DRC, involving the M23 rebel group, have destabilized the region and affected trade and investment. (AP News) By focusing on development rather than just security, the pact signals a new approach to peace: using economic cooperation to strengthen stability.

Globally, the deal is important because:

  • It opens African investment opportunities in minerals, energy, and infrastructure.
  • It secures supply chains for critical minerals used in electric vehicles and batteries.
  • It provides a model of peace through economic integration, relevant to other conflict-prone regions.

Challenges Ahead

Despite the optimism, obstacles remain:

  • Security: Withdrawal of foreign troops from eastern DRC is still incomplete.
  • Community trust: Local populations remain cautious after previous agreements failed to deliver results.
  • Governance: Ensuring minerals benefit local communities rather than elites is essential.
  • Geopolitical risks: Global interest in DRC’s resources makes the region sensitive to shifting international priorities.

Next Steps

The draft framework is expected to be finalized in the coming weeks. Implementation will include infrastructure development, mineral-sector reforms, and expanded trade initiatives. International investors and development agencies are watching closely, looking for stability and clear regulations to guide investments.

“This deal could change the trajectory of the Great Lakes region,” said an analyst tracking African economic development. “It’s a signal that diplomacy, trade, and investment can work hand-in-hand to secure peace and growth.”

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