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Banking, Finance & Economic Policy

Kenya Bankers Urge Stability Ahead of Elections

Banks are preparing for potential volatility by strengthening liquidity and monitoring credit exposure. Kenya Bankers stability elections 2027 highlights the importance of predictable policies and strong institutions for economic growth.

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KBA CEO Raimond Molenje emphasized restoring purchasing power and fiscal discipline. Kenya Bankers stability elections 2027 will ensure banks continue supporting businesses and households.

KBA calls for political and economic stability ahead of 2027 elections to safeguard lending, SMEs, and investor confidence.

Kenya Bankers Call for Stability Ahead of 2027 Elections

Nairobi, Nov. 12 (Reuters) – With Kenya’s next General Election scheduled for 2027, the Kenya Bankers Association (KBA) has publicly called for political, economic, and institutional stability. Indeed, the group warned that instability could slow investment, restrict lending, and disrupt economic growth.

In a statement on KBA’s Transforming Kenya portal, the banking body said a predictable environment is critical. Banks need it to function efficiently. Furthermore, it supports enterprise growth and financial inclusion.

KBA CEO Raimond Molenje emphasized urgency. “With about 20 months to the General Elections, we need stability before and after the polls. Moreover, central to this is restoring the lost purchasing power for Kenyans and businesses,” he said.


Why Stability Matters for Banks

Kenya’s banks are heavily reliant on macroeconomic and institutional stability. As of September 2025, commercial banks held nearly KSh 5.5 trillion (US$36.6 billion) in deposits, according to the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK). Political uncertainty could affect deposit mobilization and lending. Consequently, credit growth may slow.

Dr. George Oraro, an economist at Strathmore University, explained the risks. “Historically, election periods in Kenya have led to slower lending. In addition, they reduce private investment. Banks are essentially calling for predictability to continue financing businesses, particularly SMEs.”


Fiscal Space and Economic Context

KBA stressed that consolidating fiscal space is necessary to support continued lending and enterprise growth. Kenya’s public debt has risen to over 65% of GDP. Inflationary pressures have eroded household purchasing power.

“Banks cannot operate in isolation. Macroeconomic stability underpins their ability to lend and invest. It also supports national development.” said Catherine Kariuki, financial analyst at Cytonn Investments. “Without fiscal discipline, interest rates rise. As a result, SMEs struggle for credit. Economic growth slows. KBA’s statement is a clear call for government prudence.”

By advocating for predictable policies, KBA highlights the risks of sudden policy changes. For example, populist spending could destabilize markets. Additionally, investor confidence could be affected.


Preparing for Potential Volatility

The banking sector is preparing for potential shocks around the election period. Banks are strengthening liquidity buffers. Meanwhile, they are reviewing loan portfolios. In addition, credit exposure to vulnerable sectors, such as construction, real estate, and trade, is being monitored closely.

Molenje emphasized the importance of financial inclusion. “A stable environment will allow banks to continue supporting SMEs and larger enterprises. Indeed, these are the backbone of Kenya’s economy,” he said.


Broader Implications

KBA’s statement also sends a signal to policymakers and investors. Maintaining stability is critical for economic growth. Kenya is targeting double-digit growth in the medium term. However, political or economic shocks could slow credit flow. Moreover, investor confidence could drop.

Rising currency volatility and inflation make the call for stability timely. Analysts warn that without predictable fiscal and monetary policies, election uncertainty could worsen market fluctuations. Consequently, borrowing costs may rise, and lending capacity could be constrained.


Conclusion

Kenya’s banking sector is sending a clear message ahead of the 2027 elections. Stability is vital to safeguard lending, SME growth, and investor confidence. Furthermore, KBA emphasizes fiscal consolidation, predictable policies, and strong institutions. Both public and private sectors must work together to maintain a favorable operating environment.

Over the next 20 months, banks will continue preparing for potential volatility. In addition, they will support businesses and households. KBA’s statement serves as both a warning and a roadmap. Therefore, stable governance, disciplined fiscal management, and resilient institutions are critical for Kenya’s financial and economic growth.

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Banking, Finance & Economic Policy

Family Bank Secures Sh8B ($65M) in Capital Rais

Capital injection strengthens Family Bank’s lending and digital expansion. The move enhances its position in Kenya’s mid-tier banking sector.

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Oversubscription demonstrates high demand from institutional investors. Family Bank plans to deploy proceeds to support SMEs and financial inclusion.
Family Bank secures Sh8B (~$65M) in oversubscribed private placement. CEO Nancy Njau says investor confidence reflects the bank’s strong growth strategy.

Kenya’s Family Bank secures Sh8 billion (~$65M) in an oversubscribed private placement, boosting capital and investor confidence.

Family Bank Secures Sh8 Billion (~$65M) in Oversubscribed Private Placement

Thursday, December 04, 2025 – 4 min read

Family Bank has successfully raised Sh8 billion (approximately $65 million) through an oversubscribed private placement targeted at institutional and accredited investors. The achievement underscores strong investor confidence in the bank’s growth strategy and reflects Kenya’s robust mid-tier banking sector.

The bank plans to deploy the capital to strengthen its Tier 1 capital, expand lending capacity, accelerate digital banking initiatives, and support infrastructure growth across Kenya. Analysts note that the oversubscription signals confidence in Family Bank’s resilient business model and ability to deliver consistent returns.


Oversubscription Highlights Market Confidence

The private placement attracted commitments well above the targeted Sh8 billion, forcing the bank to scale back allocations to maintain regulatory compliance. Funds will be used to expand credit to SMEs and retail customers, a crucial segment in Kenya’s financial ecosystem.

“Investor interest demonstrates strong confidence in Family Bank’s growth trajectory,” said Family Bank CEO during a press briefing. “These funds will allow us to offer innovative solutions, improve digital services, and enhance shareholder value.”


Private Placement Details

The Sh8 billion (~$65 million) private placement involved institutional investors, including pension funds, insurance companies, and high-net-worth individuals. Shares were priced at a premium to the prevailing market price, reflecting high demand.

The capital injection strengthens Family Bank’s Tier 1 capital ratio, enhancing its ability to meet regulatory requirements and support lending growth across retail, SME, and corporate sectors.


Kenya’s Banking Context

Kenya’s banking sector has seen several capital-raising initiatives as lenders prepare for economic recovery, rising credit demand, and digital banking expansion. Oversubscribed private placements are increasingly popular among investors seeking stable returns from well-managed mid-tier banks.

Family Bank’s placement demonstrates its ability to attract substantial funding in a competitive market. Raising Sh8 billion in a single tranche is a significant achievement, signaling both investor confidence and market positioning.


Impact on Borrowers and the Economy

Borrowers benefit from enhanced lending capacity, especially SMEs and individuals seeking personal or business loans. Medium- and long-term borrowers gain predictable access to credit, improving financial planning and business operations.

Economists note that the capital injection strengthens Family Bank’s financial resilience, enabling it to weather macroeconomic pressures while supporting credit growth. The bank’s expanded capital base may also improve liquidity in Kenya’s broader financial system.


Strategic Use of Funds

Family Bank plans to deploy the raised capital across several key initiatives:

  1. Lending Growth: Increase credit availability for SMEs and retail clients.
  2. Digital Banking: Accelerate investment in fintech platforms for improved customer experience.
  3. Infrastructure Expansion: Strengthen branch networks and ATMs in underserved regions.
  4. Regulatory Compliance: Enhance Tier 1 capital ratios and meet Central Bank of Kenya requirements.

The bank’s strategy positions it to capture market share in Kenya’s growing financial services sector, particularly in SME-focused banking and digital platforms.


Investor Takeaways

Investors gain access to equity in a bank with strong retail and SME penetration, which is often resilient to economic volatility. The oversubscription highlights high demand for well-managed mid-tier banks in Kenya.

Market analysts expect the fresh capital to enable Family Bank to increase lending capacity, invest in technology, and expand strategically, supporting financial inclusion and sustainable growth.


Outlook

With Sh8 billion (~$65 million) raised, Family Bank is well-positioned to capitalize on Kenya’s expanding financial services market. The oversubscription reinforces the bank’s credibility and its ability to attract significant investor funding.

As Kenya continues to grow in digital banking, SME lending, and financial inclusion initiatives, Family Bank’s strengthened capital base provides a competitive edge, allowing the bank to serve its clients more efficiently while supporting national economic growth.

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Banking, Finance & Economic Policy

Kenya Banks Switch to CBR for Loan Pricing

Returning to the CBR enhances transparency in Kenya’s credit market. Borrowers and businesses can expect more predictable loan rates.

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Kesonia is abandoned as banks revert to the CBR benchmark. Analysts say the U-turn strengthens collaboration between CBK and commercial lenders.

Kenya’s commercial banks adopt the Central Bank Rate (CBR) to price loans, shelving the Kesonia benchmark amid a policy U-turn.

Kenya Banks Adopt CBR as Base for Loan Pricing in Policy U-Turn

Kenya’s commercial banks have reverted to using the Central Bank Rate (CBR) as their benchmark for pricing loans, marking a significant policy reversal. Initially, banks had rejected the CBR and instead pushed for the creation of the Kenya Shilling Overnight Interbank Average (Kesonia). This new benchmark was intended to serve as the reference rate for all lending transactions but has now been shelved amid regulatory and market pressures.

Analysts say the move simplifies interest rate calculations and aligns commercial lending more closely with monetary policy signals from the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK). Banks had previously argued that the CBR was too volatile, making it unsuitable as a consistent reference for loan pricing, particularly for long-term credit facilities. By returning to the CBR, lenders now directly link borrowing costs to the central bank’s policy stance, ensuring greater predictability and transparency in the credit market.


Background: From CBR to Kesonia and Back

The CBR was first introduced as a monetary policy tool to guide interest rates and stabilize inflation. In theory, it allows the CBK to transmit policy changes to the broader economy efficiently. However, some commercial banks raised concerns that linking loans directly to the CBR could lead to frequent fluctuations in lending rates, affecting both corporate and retail borrowers.

To address these concerns, banks negotiated the introduction of Kesonia, a weighted average overnight interbank lending rate. Kesonia was expected to provide a smoother, market-driven benchmark for pricing loans. Despite extensive planning, the framework faced delays in adoption and operational challenges, including limited liquidity in the interbank market and insufficient market participation.

After several months of consideration, commercial banks decided to abandon Kesonia and readopt the CBR. Market analysts suggest this reversal was influenced by regulatory pressure and the need for a unified, transparent reference rate.


Why the CBR Matters for Lending

By adopting the CBR as the official benchmark, Kenya’s lenders create a direct link between monetary policy and lending rates. When the CBK adjusts the CBR, banks are expected to reflect these changes in their lending portfolios. This alignment ensures that interest rates for loans remain sensitive to economic conditions, including inflation, liquidity, and overall credit availability.

Economists note that this shift could influence commercial borrowing costs across sectors. Companies relying on bank credit for expansion may face more frequent rate adjustments, but the move also introduces clarity. Borrowers can now anticipate rate movements based on CBK policy statements rather than navigating an experimental benchmark with uncertain rules.


Market Implications

The return to the CBR framework is expected to enhance transparency in Kenya’s financial sector. With a single benchmark, lenders can price loans more consistently, and regulators can monitor compliance effectively. This unification may also support greater investor confidence, as the predictability of lending rates reduces market uncertainty.

Banking analysts say the decision reflects stronger collaboration between commercial banks and the CBK. By aligning with the CBR, banks demonstrate responsiveness to regulatory guidance while reinforcing a transparent credit environment. Furthermore, this alignment could reduce administrative costs linked to calculating rates using multiple benchmarks and improve operational efficiency.


Impact on Borrowers and the Economy

For borrowers, the CBR-based loan pricing framework offers more predictable borrowing costs, which can facilitate financial planning for households and businesses. Medium- and long-term loans, in particular, benefit from the clarity provided by a single benchmark tied to central bank policy.

From an economic perspective, adopting the CBR may also strengthen monetary transmission, enabling the CBK to influence credit conditions more effectively. Analysts expect that businesses, especially SMEs, will benefit from better-aligned loan pricing, while banks gain a more stable framework for interest rate management.


Looking Ahead

The shelving of Kesonia signals that Kenya’s banking sector is prioritizing regulatory alignment and market stability over experimental benchmarks. Observers suggest that the CBR framework may eventually serve as a foundation for further reforms in interest rate liberalization and market transparency.

As Kenya’s commercial banks adapt to the CBR, both lenders and borrowers can anticipate a more predictable lending environment. While some volatility remains inevitable due to economic conditions, analysts believe that a unified reference rate will improve trust in the banking system and enhance overall financial sector efficiency.

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Banking, Finance & Economic Policy

Ethiopia Central Bank $50M FX Auction

The $50 million sale is part of a $520 million intervention plan. Analysts say it will provide short-term liquidity for banks and trade finance.

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Smaller than October’s $150 million tranche, competition for allocations may intensify. The auction signals NBE’s continued commitment to stabilising the currency and market confidence.

Ethiopia’s central bank will auction $50M amid FX shortages. The Birr has weakened 4% despite prior injections and market interventions.

Ethiopia’s Central Bank to Auction $50 Million Amid Currency Pressures

Ethiopia’s National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) will auction $50 million to commercial banks and eligible financial institutions on Tuesday, December 2, 2025. Currency shortages continue to squeeze the market, weakening the local Ethiopian Birr, which has depreciated 4% despite earlier liquidity injections. Market observers say this auction aims to stabilise prices and provide predictable foreign exchange access.

The central bank described the sale as part of ongoing efforts to “stabilise the local currency and support price and external stability.” Since the introduction of a new foreign exchange trading system in August 2024, this marks the 11th auction. The upcoming $50 million sale is $100 million smaller than the October 14 auction, which offered $150 million. At that time, liquidity briefly improved, but pressures on the Birr persisted.


Part of a $520 Million Intervention Plan

The NBE said this auction is included in a broader $520 million intervention plan for the remainder of Ethiopia’s fiscal year ending June 30, 2026. The bi-weekly programme ensures banks have scheduled access to foreign currency and helps reduce market uncertainty.

To modernise price discovery, participants must submit bids via email at 10:00 am and 12:00 noon on auction day. The results will be published at 3:00 pm, and settlement is required by the end of the day.


Rising Currency Pressures

Recent auctions show Ethiopia’s persistent currency stress. In October, 31 commercial banks received allocations at a weighted average rate of Birr 148/$1, compared with Birr 136.6/$1 in mid-2025 auctions. The increase highlights the rising cost of foreign currency for banks.

Despite the $150 million liquidity injection in October, the Birr has continued to weaken, trading at Birr 153.9/$1 at the official window. This depreciation illustrates the persistent gap between dollar demand for imports and foreign currency inflows.


Implications for Banks and Investors

Analysts expect the $50 million auction to provide short-term liquidity for banks handling trade-finance pipelines, corporate FX requests, and import settlements. Because the auction is smaller than October’s tranche, competition for allocations could intensify, potentially pushing bid rates higher in future auctions.

Investors can view the auction as a signal of NBE’s commitment to structured FX access. The central bank’s interventions also provide transparency in managing currency supply and stabilising market conditions.


Related Developments

Ethiopia’s commercial banks increasingly rely on development finance partnerships. For instance, Zemen Bank recently secured $85 million from Afreximbank and Trade and Development Bank (TDB) to strengthen liquidity and support smoother cross-border transactions.

This arrangement builds on a $30 million trade guarantee Zemen received from the International Finance Corporation in 2024. By enhancing trade finance capacity, local banks can better support SMEs, corporates, and foreign investors navigating Ethiopia’s foreign currency-constrained market.


What This Means for Ethiopia’s Economy

Bi-weekly FX auctions are part of a strategy to modernise Ethiopia’s foreign exchange market and provide predictable access for banks. Consistent intervention reduces market uncertainty, supports import-dependent businesses, and reassures international investors.

Ultimately, NBE’s auctions reflect its dual role: managing currency stability and ensuring liquidity in trade and corporate finance. While the Birr’s depreciation signals ongoing challenges, structured FX interventions aim to balance supply and demand in the short and medium term.

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